¡¶¼ÆÁ¿¾­¼Ãѧ¡·Ð»Ê¶Óè·ÖÕÂÁ·Ï°ÊÔÌâ ÁªÏµ¿Í·þ

·¢²¼Ê±¼ä : ÐÇÆÚÈÕ ÎÄÕ¡¶¼ÆÁ¿¾­¼Ãѧ¡·Ð»Ê¶Óè·ÖÕÂÁ·Ï°ÊÔÌâ¸üÐÂÍê±Ï¿ªÊ¼ÔĶÁ

WORD¸ñʽ ¿É±à¼­

9. ¾ö¶¨ÏµÊýÓëÏà¹ØϵÊýµÄº¬ÒåÊÇÏàͬµÄ¡££¨ ¡Á £©

10. ÔÚ¼ÆÁ¿¾­¼ÃÄ£ÐÍÖУ¬Ëæ»úÈŶ¯ÏîÓë²Ð²îÏîÎÞÇø±ð¡££¨ £© 11. ͶÈë²ú³öÄ£ÐͺÍÊýѧ¹æ»®Ä£ÐͶ¼ÊǾ­¼Ã¼ÆÁ¿Ä£ÐÍ¡££¨ £© 12. ¸ß˹Âí¶û¿Æ·ò¶¨ÂɼÙÉèËæ»úÎó²îÏî·þ´ÓÕý̬·Ö²¼¡££¨ £©

¶þ¡¢Ãû´Ê½âÊÍ 1£®Blue¹À¼Æ 2£®ÇòÐÎÈŶ¯ 3£®ÄâºÏ¶È 4£®¾ö¶¨ÏµÊý 5£®µãÔ¤²â

Èý¡¢Ñ¡ÔñÌâ £¨1£©µ¥Ñ¡

1. ÏÂÃæÊôÓÚÃæ°åÊý¾ÝµÄÊÇ£¨ £©¡£

A¡¢1991-2003Äê¸÷ÄêijµØÇø20¸öÏçÕòµÄƽ¾ù¹¤Òµ²úÖµ B¡¢1991-2003Äê¸÷ÄêijµØÇø20¸öÏçÕòµÄ¸÷Õò¹¤Òµ²úÖµ C¡¢Ä³ÄêijµØÇø20¸öÏçÕò¹¤Òµ²úÖµµÄºÏ¼ÆÊý D¡¢Ä³ÄêijµØÇø20¸öÏçÕò¸÷Õò¹¤Òµ²úÖµ 2. ÏßÐԻعé·ÖÎöÖеĻù±¾¼ÙÉ趨Ò壨 £©¡£ A£®½âÊͱäÁ¿ºÍ±»½âÊͱäÁ¿¶¼ÊÇËæ»ú±äÁ¿

B£®½âÊͱäÁ¿Îª·ÇËæ»ú±äÁ¿£¬±»½âÊͱäÁ¿ÎªËæ»ú±äÁ¿ C£®½âÊͱäÁ¿ºÍ±»½âÊͱäÁ¿¶¼Îª·ÇËæ»ú±äÁ¿ D£®½âÊͱäÁ¿ÎªËæ»ú±äÁ¿£¬±»½âÊͱäÁ¿Îª·ÇËæ»ú±äÁ¿

3. ×îС¶þ³ËÔ­ÀíÊÇָʹ£¨ £©´ïµ½×îСֵµÄÔ­ÔòÈ·¶¨Ñù±¾»Ø¹é·½³Ì¡£

? B.?Y?Y? A.?Yt?Ytttt?1t?1n??n? D.C.maxYt?Yt?Yt?Y?t

t?1n??24. ¶ÔÏßÐԻعéÄ£Ð͵¥¸ö²ÎÊý½øÐÐÏÔÖøÐÔ¼ìÑéµÄÊÇ£¨ £© A£®¾ö¶¨ÏµÊýR2 B£®t¼ìÑé C£®F¼ìÑé D£®±ê×¼²î 5. ºâÁ¿Ñù±¾»Ø¹éÖ±Ï߶ÔÊý¾ÝÄâºÏ³Ì¶ÈµÄÊÇ£¨ £© A£®¾ö¶¨ÏµÊýR2 B£®t¼ìÑé C£®F¼ìÑé D£®±ê×¼²î 6. ͬһͳ¼ÆÖ¸±ê°´Ê±¼ä˳Ðò¼Ç¼µÄÊý¾ÝÁгÆΪ£¨ £©

A¡¢ºá½ØÃæÊý¾Ý B¡¢Ê±¼äÐòÁÐÊý¾Ý C¡¢Ãæ°åÊý¾Ý D¡¢Ê±¼äÊý¾Ý

רҵ¼¼Êõ ֪ʶ¹²Ïí

WORD¸ñʽ ¿É±à¼­

7. ÔڻعéÄ£ÐÍY??0??1Xi??iÖУ¬nΪÑù±¾ÈÝÁ¿£¬¼ìÑéH0:?1?0ʱËùÓõÄͳ¼ÆÁ¿

??1?)Var(?1·þ´ÓµÄ·Ö²¼Îª £¨ £©¡£

A¡¢¦Ö2(n-2) B¡¢t(n-1) C¡¢¦Ö2(n-1) D¡¢t(n-2)

£¨2£©¶àÑ¡

8£®×îС¶þ³Ë¹À¼ÆÁ¿µÄͳ¼ÆÐÔÖÊÓУ¨ £©

A. ÎÞÆ«ÐÔ B. ÏßÐÔÐÔ C. ×îС·½²îÐÔ D. ²»Ò»ÖÂÐÔ E. ÓÐÆ«ÐÔ

???9£®ÀûÓÃÆÕͨ×îС¶þ³Ë·¨ÇóµÃµÄÑù±¾»Ø¹éÖ±ÏßYi??0??1XiµÄÌص㣨 £©

A. ±ØȻͨ¹ýµã(X,Y) B. ¿ÉÄÜͨ¹ýµã(X,Y)

?eYiC. ²Ð²îµÄ¾ùֵΪ³£Êý D. iµÄƽ¾ùÖµÓëYiµÄƽ¾ùÖµÏàµÈ E. ²Ð²îeiÓë½âÊͱäÁ¿XiÖ®¼äÓÐÒ»¶¨µÄÏà¹ØÐÔ

10£®Ëæ»ú±äÁ¿£¨Ëæ»úÎó²îÏuiÖÐÒ»°ã°üÀ¨ÄÇЩÒòËØ£¨ £©

A »Ø¹éÄ£ÐÍÖÐÊ¡ÂԵıäÁ¿ B ÈËÃǵÄËæ»úÐÐΪ

C ½¨Á¢µÄÊýѧģÐ͵ÄÐÎʽ²»¹»ÍêÉÆ¡£ D ¾­¼Ã±äÁ¿Ö®¼äµÄºÏ²¢Îó²î¡£ E ²âÁ¿Îó²î¡£

ËÄ¡¢¼ÆËã·ÖÎöÌâ

1.ijÏßÐԻعéµÄ½á¹ûÈçÏ£º

Dependent Variable: Y Method: Least Squares Sample: 1981 2002 Included observations: 22

Variable C X

R-squared Adjusted R-squared Sum squared resid Log likelihood Durbin-Watson stat

Coefficient 237.7530 0.751089

Std. Error ) ( ¢Ù0.010396

t-Statistic 3.478200 ( ¢Ú )

Prob. 0.0024 0.0000 3975.000 3310.257 13.71371 5219.299 0.000000

0.996183 Mean dependent var 0.995992 S.D. dependent var 878414.7 Schwarz criterion -147.7598 F-statistic 1.287765 Prob(F-statistic)

רҵ¼¼Êõ ֪ʶ¹²Ïí

WORD¸ñʽ ¿É±à¼­

£¨1£©¼ÆËãÀ¨ºÅÄÚµÄÖµ

£¨2£©ÅжϽâÊͱäÁ¿X¶Ô±»½âÊͱäÁ¿YÊÇ·ñÓÐÏÔÖøÐÔÓ°Ïì²¢¸ø³öÀíÓÉ £¨3£©¼ÆËãËæ»úÎó²îÏîµÄ·½²î¦Ò2µÄ¹À¼ÆÖµ¡£

2.ϱí¸ø³öÁ˺¬½Ø¾àÏîµÄÒ»ÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£Ð͵ĻعéµÄ½á¹û£º

·½²îÀ´Ô´ À´×Իعé(ESS) À´×Բвî(RSS) ×ÜÀë²î(TSS) ƽ·½ºÍ 106.58 £¨ £© 108.38 ×ÔÓɶȣ¨df£© 1 17 £¨ £© ƽ·½ºÍµÄ¾ùÖµ£¨MSS£© ×¢£º±£Áô3λСÊý£¬¿ÉÒÔʹÓüÆËãÆ÷¡£ÔÚ5%µÄÏÔÖøÐÔˮƽÏ¡£ 1. Íê³ÉÉϱíÖпհ״¦ÄÚÈÝ¡£ 2.´Ë»Ø¹éÄ£ÐÍ°üº¬¶àÉÙ¸öÑù±¾£¿ 3. ÇóR¡£

2

Îå¡¢¼ò´ðÌâ 1£®Ê²Ã´BLUE¹À¼Æ¡£ 2£®Ê²Ã´ÊÇÇòÐÎÈŶ¯¡£ 3. ʲôÊǸß˹Âí¶û¿Æ·ò¶¨ÂÉ£¿ 4. ʲôÊÇ×îС¶þ³Ë¹À¼ÆÁ¿µÄÏßÐÔÐÔ£¿

µÚËÄÕÂ Ï° Ìâ

Ò»¡¢ÅжÏÌâ

13. ҪʹµÃ¼ÆÁ¿¾­¼ÃѧģÐÍÄâºÏµÃºÃ£¬¾Í±ØÐëÔö¼Ó½âÊͱäÁ¿¡££¨ £© 14. Ò»ÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£ÐÍÓë¶àÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£Ð͵Ļù±¾¼Ù¶¨ÊÇÏàͬµÄ¡££¨ £© 15. ¾ö¶¨ÏµÊýÓëÏà¹ØϵÊýµÄº¬ÒåÊÇÏàͬµÄ¡££¨ £©

16. ÏßÐԻعéÄ£ÐÍÖÐÔö¼Ó½âÊͱäÁ¿£¬µ÷ÕûµÄ¾ö¶¨ÏµÊý½«±ä´ó¡££¨ £© 5£®ÏßÐԻعéÄ£ÐÍÖмìÑé»Ø¹éÏÔÖøÐÔʱ½á¹ûÏÔÖø£¬ÔòËùÓнâÊͱäÁ¿¶Ô±»½âÊͱäÁ¿¶¼Ã»ÓнâÊÍÁ¦¡££¨ £©

¶þ¡¢Ãû´Ê½âÊÍ 1£®¾ö¶¨ÏµÊý 2£®µ÷ÕûµÄ¾ö¶¨ÏµÊý

רҵ¼¼Êõ ֪ʶ¹²Ïí

WORD¸ñʽ ¿É±à¼­

3£®²ÎÊýÏÔÖøÐÔ¼ìÑé 4£®Ä£ÐÍ×ÜÌåÏÔÖøÐÔ¼ìÑé 5£®¶àÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£ÐÍ

Èý¡¢Ñ¡ÔñÌâ £¨1£©µ¥Ñ¡

8. ΪÁË·ÖÎöËæ׎âÊͱäÁ¿±ä¶¯Ò»¸öµ¥Î»£¬Òò±äÁ¿µÄÔö³¤Âʱ仯µÄÇé¿ö£¬Ä£ÐÍÓ¦¸ÃÉ趨Ϊ( )¡£

A¡¢lnY??1??2lnX?? B¡¢Y??1??2lnX?? C¡¢lnY??1??2X?? D¡¢Y??1??2X?? 9.

eÒÑÖªº¬½Ø¾àÏîµÄ3ÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£Ð͹À¼ÆµÄ²Ð²îƽ·½ºÍΪ?2

2i=1200£¬Ñù±¾ÈÝ

Á¿Îªn=24£¬ÔòÎó²îÏî·½²îµÄÎÞÆ«¹À¼ÆÁ¿SΪ £¨ £© A¡¢ 400 B¡¢ 40 C¡¢60 D¡¢ 80

10. ¶àÔªÏßÐԻعéÄ£ÐÍÂú×ãÁù¸ö»ù±¾¼ÙÉ裬Æä×îС¶þ³Ë¹À¼ÆÁ¿·þ´Ó£¨ £© A£®Õý̬·Ö²¼ B£®t·Ö²¼ C£®¦Ö2·Ö²¼ D£®F·Ö²¼

11. ÆÕͨ×îС¶þ³Ë·¨ÒªÇóÏßÐԻعéÄ£Ð͵ÄËæ»úÎó²îÏîui,Âú×ãijЩ»ù±¾¼Ù¶¨£¬ÏÂÁдíÎóµÄÊÇ£¨ £©¡£

A£®E(ui)=0 B£®E(ui2)=¦Òi2 C£®E(ui uj)=0£¬i¡Ùj D£®ui ~N(0, ¦Ò2) 12. ¶àÔªÏßÐԻعé·ÖÎöÖÐµÄ ESS£¨½âÊÍƽ·½ºÍ£©·´Ó³ÁË£¨ £©

A£®Òò±äÁ¿¹Û²âÖµ×ܱä²îµÄ´óС B£®Òò±äÁ¿»Ø¹é¹À¼ÆÖµ×ܱä²îµÄ´óС C£®Òò±äÁ¿¹Û²âÖµÓë¹À¼ÆÖµÖ®¼äµÄ×ܱä²îD£®Y¹ØÓÚXµÄ±ß¼Ê±ä»¯

13. ÓÃÒ»×éÓÐ30¸ö¹Û²âÖµµÄÑù±¾¹À¼ÆÄ£ÐÍYi??0??1X1i??2X2i??3X3i??i£¬²¢ÔÚ0.05µÄÏÔÖøÐÔˮƽ϶Ô×ÜÌåÏÔÖøÐÔ½øÐмìÑ飬Ôò¼ìÑé¾Ü¾øÁã¼ÙÉèµÄÌõ¼þÊÇͳ¼ÆÁ¿F´óÓÚ( )¡£

A¡¢ F0.05(3,26) B¡¢t0.025(3,30) C¡¢ F0.05(3,30) D¡¢ t0.025(2,26)

14. ¶àÔªÏßÐԻعé·ÖÎöÖÐµÄ TSS£¨×ܵÄÀë²îƽ·½ºÍ£©µÄ×ÔÓɶÈΪ£¨ £© A£®k B£®n C£®n-k-1 D£®n-1

£¨2£©¶àÑ¡

15. ¶ÔÓÚols£¬ÏÂÁÐʽ×ÓÖÐÕýÈ·µÄÊÇ£¨ £©£¨ESSΪ½âÊÍƽ·½ºÍ£¬RSSΪ²Ð²îƽ·½ºÍ£©

A£®R2 =RSS/TSS B£®R2 =ESS/TSS C£®R2 =ESS/RSS D£®TSS=ESS+RSS E£®ÒÔÉ϶¼²»¶Ô

רҵ¼¼Êõ ֪ʶ¹²Ïí